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Global recession pessimism

The pessimistic atmosphere of the global economic recession is gradually increasing. Today, the Institute of Finance and Economics announced that the Taiwan Financial Risk Index (TAIFRI) for June was 100.8 points, a new high since June 2021.
Although the overall financial risk situation in Taiwan is still in a stable stage, the risk index in the first half of this year showed a gradual upward trend, while overseas market risks continued to rise to a new high since May 2020.

Wu Zhongshu, chairman of the Financial Research Institute, said that the market has doubts about the economic recession in the United States, and countries have adopted the method of accelerating interest rate hikes and suppressing inflation, which will inevitably slow down economic growth, but the unemployment rate in the United States remains stable and has no impact. The labor market is a good thing for the international economy, and if the Russian-Ukrainian war continues, it is a challenge to the monetary policies of various countries

Wu Zhongshu said that the U.S. economy will continue to observe this wave of continuous interest rate hikes for one quarter, because there has never been a continuous interest rate hike in the U.S. economy. Representatives appear, but do not affect for too long.

The atmosphere of Zhongshu is affected by the continuous expansion, as well as the turbulent international political situation, which has a great impact on consumers. The impact is rising, the pace is quickening, and it is inspiring. Taiwan's exports are very dynamic, and the market has a certain impact on the market. Wondering how to use a flexible way to remind investors of tips on investing.

The Financial Research Institute stated that the Taiwan Financial Risk Index reached 100.8 points, a monthly increase of 1.9 points, mainly due to the impact of the first dimension "asset evaluation pressure". Due to the fluctuations in the performance of Taiwan stocks in June, the panic index (Taiwan VIX) hit a record high. The new high since March 2021 was caused by the sharp rise in the risk of market price fluctuations.

The Financial Research Institute pointed out that, observing changes in various sub-indices, overseas market risks increased by 71.9% year-on-year, followed by price fluctuations, which increased by 23.9% year-on-year. The three major priorities of the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision-making change.

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